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(Courtesy: Golf Digest)

Hey yo! Golfstradamus coming in hot!

I apologize for the late post time — I was busy trying to finagle a yacht date with Karen Gillan with all that money I won last week picking Brian Harman to win the Wells Fargo.

Okay, so — he was just my long shot. It wasn’t like I bet the farm on him. That being said, it still goes in the win column. If you’re scoring at home, that’s two of the last three winners picked in the column. If you’d like some good karma, tell your friends and spread the wealth.

This week, the Tour embarks on its yearly pilgrimage to TPC Sawgrass for the PLAYERS Championship. It’s the toughest field of the year to handicap since everyone in it is a winner, a top-50 player in the world, or just recently removed from such decoration. With that being said, there’s are plenty of pitfalls waiting to make an uneducated gambler go broke — so listen carefully:

THE PLAYERS Championship
TPC Sawgrass – Ponte Vedra Beach, Florida
May 11 – 14, 2017

ODDS to Win:
Dustin Johnson 7/1
Rory McIlroy 10/1
Jordan Spieth 12/1
Sergio Garcia 15/1
Jason Day 20/1
Jon Rahm 20/1
Justin Rose 20/1
Rickie Fowler 20/1
Hideki Matsuyama 20/1
Adam Scott 30/1
Henrik Stenson 30/1
Justin Thomas 25/1
Brooks Koepka 30/1
Paul Casey 30/1
Matt Kuchar 50/1
Francesco Molinari 50/1
Kevin Kisner 50/1
Kevin Chappell 50/1
Phil Mickelson 60/1
Patrick Reed 60/1
Martin Kaymer 50/1
Lee Westwood 80/1
Daniel Berger 60/1
Cameron Smith 80/1
Louis Oosthuizen 80/1
Charl Schwartzel 80/1
Branden Grace 80/1
Brian Harman 100/1
Pat Perez 80/1
Russell Henley 60/1
Patrick Cantlay 80/1
Tyrrell Hatton 80/1
Jason Dufner 80/1
Tommy Fleetwood 80/1
Ryan Moore 80/1
Marc Leishman 80/1
Russell Knox 80/1
Adam Hadwin 80/1
Bubba Watson 100/1
Bill Haas 100/1
Zach Johnson 100/1
J.B. Holmes 100/1
Alex Noren 100/1
Ross Fisher 100/1
Bernd Wiesberger 100/1
Jimmy Walker 100/1
Matthew Fitzpatrick 100/1
Charley Hoffman 100/1
William McGirt 125/1
Shane Lowry 100/1
Ryan Palmer 100/1
Tony Finau 100/1
Gary Woodland 125/1
Rafael Cabrera Bello 125/1
Graeme McDowell 100/1
Wesley Bryan 125/1
Kevin Na 125/1
Emiliano Grillo 125/1
Luke Donald 125/1
Field (all others) 7/1

Mortal Locks:

Rory McIlroy (10/1) — Few players have a track record anywhere like Rory McIlroy has at TPC Sawgrass. Because of that, he’s hard to ignore this week. While he hasn’t won the event yet, Rors has two top-10’s and a tie for 12th in three starts here. Obviously, he’s comfortable on property and that bodes well for any player, let alone one as supremely talented as McIlroy. The wild card will be his new TaylorMade sticks — but we’ve seen him make an equipment change successfully in the past. At 10/1, you’d have to bet the farm for anything real — but being right is always nice, too.

Sergio Garcia (15/1) — Coming in hot after shedding the title “best to never” at Augusta, Sergio looks to claim his second PGA Tour win and second PLAYERS Championship this week in Ponte Vedra. Like McIlroy, his history here can’t be ignored. Combine that with hot play coming in and the streaky Spaniard is worth a few shekels at 15/1/

“Hey girl. Call me.” (Courtesy: Tardis Wikia)

Matt Kuchar (50/1) — Holy schnikes! Matt Kuchar at 50/1??? At TPC Sawgrass? Be still my beating heart! Not only did he win the event in 2012, he finished T-3 here last year and has collected eight top-10’s in 20 trips. With a place as quirky as Sawgrass, the leaderboard is always going to be a mystery until late Sunday. Baring that in mind, taking a guy who always seems to be in the mix there is a smart move. And if they’re going to give you 50/1 to do it, you take that and run.

Bang for Your Buck:

Patrick Cantlay (80/1) — Even the all-knowing, all-seeing Golfstradamus is guilty of picking with his gut sometimes and I’m doing it this week with Patrick Cantlay. His story is well-documented and if you don’t know yet, get familiar. The former can’t-miss kid who was once more highly touted than Jordan Spieth is finally making his mark on Tour. A win this week would be the best story of the year so far — not only in golf, but in professional sports. At 80/1, you’d better bet something. Always better to be on the correct side of history’s ledger.

Brian Harman (100/1) — Ride her ’til she bucks ya’! I’m going to gamble on Brian Harman again this week because I believe in hot hands. Because I believe in veterans who have been there before and know how to follow up wins with strong performances. It should also be noted that Harman is no slouch at TPC Sawgrass, either. Not swayed? Consider the fact that they’re giving you 100/1 odds the week after he won at 80/1. This is easier money then the sh*t the guy in the exclamation mark suit was selling.

Graeme McDowell (100/1) — Rolling the dice here, but it’s hard to ignore his consistency as of late. McDowell has been steady for the last six or seven weeks, turning in top-20 after top-20. If it clicks, he could be celebrating on the famed 18th green on Sunday. At 100/1, he’s worth a look even if it’s a little light.

There you have it, friends and degenerate wagerers. As always, the good Lord gave us all free will — which means you’re certainly allowed to bet against the smart money and ol’ Golfstradamus….

…But I wouldn’t recommend it.

Until next time (or until Ms. Gillan returns my call), go and choose wisely.

-Golfstradamus

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