(AP Photo/Alan Diaz)

Good day, friends and degenerates! Hopefully, you lined your pockets at the Super Bowl and are ready to double your winnings this week at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am!

Golf’s best and some of the celebrity world’s best will be teeing it up this week on the Monterrey Peninsula for the world’s premier Pro-Am event.

It’s also a bettors paradise. There’s plenty of prop bets, side bets, action on the celebrities — hell, you can even bet on the things Bill Murray will or won’t be wearing.

As my counterpart, Matty Ice, mentioned — the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am seems to produce big-name winners. I, too, believe that will be the case this week.

I know guys like D.A. Points and Vaughn Taylor have won here in the recent past, but c’mon. It’s Pebble freakin’ Beach. I don’t want to see some journeyman win here. And this year, you won’t.

So who do I know has the best chance of winning this week? Keep reading:

AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am
Pebble Beach G L / Monterey Peninsula C C / Spyglass Hill G C – Pebble Beach, California
February 8 – 11, 2018

ODDS to Win:
Dustin Johnson 11/2
Jon Rahm 10/1
Rory McIlroy 10/1
Jordan Spieth 10/1
Jason Day 10/1
Paul Casey 25/1
Gary Woodland 25/1
Phil Mickelson 30/1
Matt Kuchar 30/1
Brandt Snedeker 30/1
Pat Perez 30/1
Branden Grace 30/1
Patrick Cantlay 40/1
Patrick Reed 40/1
Kevin Kisner 40/1
Adam Scott 50/1
Chesson Hadley 50/1
Chez Reavie 50/1
Kevin Chappell 50/1
Charley Hoffman 60/1
Bubba Watson 60/1
J.B. Holmes 60/1
Rafael Cabrera Bello 60/1
Shane Lowry 60/1
Bryson DeChambeau 60/1
Austin Cook 60/1
Beau Hossler 60/1
James Hahn 60/1
Chris Kirk 80/1
Scott Piercy 80/1
Jason Kokrak 80/1
Graeme McDowell 80/1
Kevin Streelman 80/1
Nick Watney 100/1
Kevin Na 100/1
Russell Henley 100/1
Paul Dunne 100/1
Russell Knox 100/1
Billy Horschel 100/1
Jimmy Walker 100/1
Vaughn Taylor 100/1
Steve Stricker 100/1
Brandon Harkins 100/1
Brian Gay 125/1
Julian Suri 150/1
Cameron Davis 150/1
Grayson Murray 150/1
Aaron Wise 150/1
Sam Saunders 150/1
Tom Hoge 150/1
Scott Stallings 150/1
Padraig Harrington 150/1
Stewart Cink 150/1
Luke Donald 150/1
Nick Taylor 150/1
Matt Jones 150/1
Jerry Kelly 200/1
William McGirt 150/1
Robert Garrigus 200/1
Ryan Armour 150/1
Seamus Power 150/1
Aaron Baddeley 200/1
Sean O’Hair 200/1
Maverick McNealy 150/1
Patrick Rodgers 200/1
Ben Martin 200/1
Corey Conners 250/1
Hunter Mahan 200/1
Brian Stuard 200/1
Jonas Blixt 250/1
Vijay Singh 250/1
Chris Stroud 250/1
Jonathan Randolph 300/1
Sangmoon Bae 300/1
Ernie Els 300/1
K.J. Choi 500/1
Angel Cabrera 500/1
Mike Weir 1000/1
David Duval 1000/1
Field (all others) 8/1

Mortal Locks: 

Rory McIlroy — I’m a big fan of Rory McIlroy’s and a big believer that he’s going to win a lot of tournaments in 2018 — starting with a win at Pebble Beach this week. Obviously, I’m more interested in him winning the Masters in April, but for now, Pebble is a nice start. He’s finished third and second in his last two world wide starts, so it stands to reason he’ll continue the upward trend. At 10/1, the gettin’ is good.

Phil Mickelson — Everyone loves Phil! — Including ol’ No. 1. Mickelson hasn’t won since the 2013 Open Championship and, in the last couple weeks, has been playing the best golf he has played in recent years. He had a serious shot last week in Phoenix and heads to the Monterrey Peninsula to tee it up at a host of courses he’s super familiar with and an event he’s won four times. Lefty’s game is rounding into form — just in time to snap that career-long winless streak. At 30/1, the juice is worth the squeeze.

Bang for Your Buck: 

Chesson Hadley — One of my favorite bets this week at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am is Chesson Hadley. After earning his way back on tour via the Web.com Tour last year, Hadley has played exceptionally well in 2017-’18. He’s finally showed the consistency that he lacked his first go-round out here. In the last two weeks, Hadley has collected a T-23 at the Farmers Insurance Open and a T-5 last week in the desert. He’s also played well on the Monterrey Peninsula in the past, finishing T-10 here in 2014 and 2015. At 50/1, you’d be remiss to pass him up.

Austin Cook — Ever since getting on Tour last fall, Austin Cook has done nothing but make cuts, win a tournament and fly relatively under the radar. A win this week is certainly possible considering his impeccable start to his 2018 PGA Tour season and would firmly affix him to any and all radars going forward. If that happens, this could very well be the last chance all year to get the ridiculous type of money he’s getting. At 80/1, you better bet I’m betting on Cook.

Fun Under $5: 

David Duval — David Duval. John Daly. Mike Weir. I don’t care which one it is — whenever of these guys tees it up, I want nothing more in the world than for one of them to win. I know it’s more likely that this type of miracle victory could only happen in an Open or something like that, but for 1000/1 money, I’m more than happy to throw my loose change down to support a bit of wishful thinking.

Padraig Harrington — On a more serious note, if you want to bet a couple bucks on a guy who is due and seems to always flirt with victory in an event like this is Padraig Harrington. At 150/1, the ROI is worth any smart bet.

There you have it, friends and degenerates. Now if you’ll excuse me, it’s time polish up the ol’ crystal brain by drinking some expensive scotch, eating Funyuns and settling down in front of Netflix.

Until next time, go and choose wisely…


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