(courtesy: SwingbySwing.com)

The third leg of the FedExCup Playoffs are upon us! And that means that the time to make some money before the end of the season is running out faster than hurricane relief funds.

After a week off from action, the best in the world are ready to get back into the “swing” of things in Chicago and the BMW Championship. At the conclusion of play in Boston and the Dell Technologies Championship, just 70 players remain in contention for the $10 million top prize two weeks from now in Atlanta.

While there are still 70 players vying for the chance to play at East Lake, there really aren’t more than a handful or so who actually, really, have a snow balls chance in hell of accomplishing much of anything at Conway Farms.

Now, it seems as though my picks this week are a touch obvious — and that’s by design. More than any tournament or stretch of tournaments, the FedExCup Playoffs are about momentum.

Here are the guys you can’t ignore — and the ones you can — this week in Chicago:

BMW Championship
Conway Farms Golf Club – Lake Forest, Illinois
September 14 – 17, 2017

ODDS to Win:
Jordan Spieth 6/1
Dustin Johnson 7/1
Justin Thomas 10/1
Jon Rahm 10/1
Rickie Fowler 12/1
Hideki Matsuyama 12/1
Jason Day 15/1
Paul Casey 15/1
Rory McIlroy 15/1
Henrik Stenson 25/1
Brooks Koepka 25/1
Patrick Reed 25/1
Justin Rose 25/1
Matt Kuchar 30/1
Sergio Garcia 40/1
Louis Oosthuizen 40/1
Marc Leishman 40/1
Patrick Cantlay 50/1
Daniel Berger 50/1
Phil Mickelson 60/1
Kevin Chappell 60/1
Charley Hoffman 60/1
Kevin Na 60/1
Webb Simpson 60/1
Charl Schwartzel 80/1
Zach Johnson 80/1
Gary Woodland 80/1
Francesco Molinari 60/1
Tony Finau 80/1
Jason Dufner 80/1
Kevin Kisner 100/1
Bill Haas 100/1
Ian Poulter 100/1
Pat Perez 100/1
Keegan Bradley 100/1
Kyle Stanley 100/1
Russell Henley 100/1
Emiliano Grillo 100/1
Xander Schauffele 100/1
Jhonattan Vegas 100/1
Ryan Moore 125/1
Rafael Cabrera Bello 125/1
Chez Reavie 125/1
Adam Hadwin 125/1
Brian Harman 150/1
Brendan Steele 150/1
Lucas Glover 100/1
Hudson Swafford 150/1
Ollie Schniderjans 150/1
Grayson Murray 150/1
Jamie Lovemark 150/1
Si Woo Kim 150/1
Bryson DeChambeau 200/1
Bud Cauley 200/1
James Hahn 200/1
Robert Streb 200/1
Sean O’Hair 200/1
Stewart Cink 200/1
Billy Horschel 250/1
Martin Laird 250/1
Cameron Smith 250/1
Charles Howell III 250/1
Kevin Tway 250/1
Sung Kang 250/1
Wesley Bryan 250/1
Danny Lee 250/1
Scott Brown 250/1
Anirban Lahiri 250/1
Luke List 250/1
Mackenzie Hughes 250/

Mortal Locks:

Jordan Spieth — He may not have won in the postseason just yet, but no player has a better average finish in the FedExCup Playoffs than Jordan Spieth. With two consecutive runner-up finishes, you’ve got to believe that Spieth is poised to finally hoist a trophy during this year’s postseason. Spieth, who collected the $10 million top prize in 2015, has his eyes firmly set on FedExCup title No. 2. Despite stiff competition from his good friend and reigning PGA Champ Justin Thomas, Spieth is still the favorite at 6/1. This is one of those scenarios where it’s better to be right than get rich — don’t pass on Spieth, no matter how much you’re willing to wager.

Justin Thomas — You all know how much I hate taking favorites, but here me out on Justin Thomas. Obviously, Thomas comes in as hot as any player in Tour history has ever come into an event. Five wins on the season, two in his last three starts including his first major triumph and the Dell Technologies win in his last start, and a stretch that saw him win three times in four starts already, has Thomas as the odds-on favorite to capture Player of the Year honors. A win this week would solidify him as the obvious POY choice and give him a leg up heading to Atlanta. At 10/1, it’s hard to believe there are two players getting worse money than Thomas this week in Chicago. You may have to bet kind of heavy to make big money, but Thomas is worth it this week at the BMW Championship.

Bang for Your Buck:

Louis Oosthuizen — I know, last week was downer who believe in my prophecy and bet on Louis Oosthuizen to win the Dell Technologies Championship outside of Boston last week. That said, I’ve always maintained that the ol’ crystal brain and sometimes be a touch murky — and that is exactly what I’m saying was the case when it comes to Louis last week. Shrek has played well in this event in the past and is still striking the ball and putting it better than most on tour. With the numbers he’s put up in the important but unflashy categories are hard to ignore. Oosthuizen has never been one to light it up on the highlight reel, but he always seems to be near the top at the end of the biggest tournaments. With just one week to go before the tour championship, it’s time for Oosthuizen to shine. At 401/1, you’d be wise to take a look at Louis.

Patrick Cantlay — Sooner of later, Patrick Cantlay is going to make good on all the high praise he garnered as a youngster and win on the PGA Tour. His story is well-documented, so I won’t go into the painful detail of injury and watching his best friend/caddie die in front of his eyes and instead, I’ll focus on his fabulous play as of late. Cantlay was one of the top stories of the early PGA Tour season when he almost won the Valspar Championship playing on a medical exemption and has posted T-10 and T-13 finishes in the first two legs of the FedExCup Playoffs respectively. At 50/1, I think you’d be seriously remiss to pass on Patrick this week.

Charley Hoffman — This may be the $124 bottle of Cabernet Sauvignon I demolished less than an hour ago talking, but I love Charley Hoffman this week at the BMW Championship. Why? Well, because I stand by what I said that he was going to win in 2017. It may not have happened yet, but this has still been, arguably, the greatest season that Jeff Daniels “Dumb and Dumber” stunt double has ever had. I love Charley Hoffman very much, and the more talking the wine does, the more money I’m willing to pour into him this week in Chicago. At 60/1, the booze may be doing most of the talking, but sober me doesn’t hate this pick either.

Fun Under $5:

Billy Horschel — I have to be honest, the further you get into the FedExCup Playoffs, the less “bang for you buck” candidates you’re going to find. The only reason I even have this category this week is because Billy Horschel — the 2013 winner of this event and the streakiest man alive — is coming into the BMW Championship as a 250/1 dog. I know he hasn’t done much as of late, but his track record in this event is great and he could use a shot in the arm if he wants to advance to Atlanta. While Horschel shouldn’t be considered a serious threat, his track record and unpredictability makes him a great “fun under five” choice if nothing else.

There you have it, friends and degenerates. It’s time to get serious about making some serious money. I’ll be the first to admit, this has been a miserable year for ol’ No. 1 — but there is still time to set the ledger straight. With just 70 players to choose from, even your run-of-the-mill moron should be able to get it close.

Until next time, go and choose wisely…


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