(courtesy: SwingbySwing.com)

Good day, friends and degenerates! While the world’s best winter athletes have descended on P.F. Changs for the Winter Olympics, the best golfers in the world are in Los Angeles for the Genesis Open!

As the Tour kicks off the final event of the West Coast swing, there are many questions. Can Tiger finally tame Riviera? Can Rory McIlroy bounce back from last week’s disappointment at Pebble? Will we see another no-name break the hearts of smart-money bettors everywhere? Who is Kaiser Soze?

In the words of Crash Davis, “We’re dealing with a lot of shit.”

It’s been well-documented this week that the field for the 2018 installment of the Genesis Open features one of the best fields in a non-major or PLAYERS Championship in recent memory — and we all know what that means. Muddy. Waters.

So — how to do you wade through the murky mess created by having so many excellent betting options? Why, you listen up to Golfstradamus!

Here’s a look at the can’t-miss, no-doubt, mortal locks for the Genesis Open at Riviera:

Genesis Open
Riviera Country Club – Pacific Palisades, California
February 15 – 18, 2018

ODDS to Win:
Dustin Johnson 9/2
Jordan Spieth 12/1
Rory McIlroy 12/1
Justin Thomas 15/1
Phil Mickelson 25/1
Paul Casey 25/1
Tommy Fleetwood 30/1
Marc Leishman 30/1
Chez Reavie 30/1
Daniel Berger 40/1
Tiger Woods 40/1
Thomas Pieters 40/1
Branden Grace 40/1
Alex Noren 40/1
Matt Kuchar 40/1
Ollie Schniederjans 40/1
Kevin Chappell 40/1
Bubba Watson 50/1
Patrick Cantlay 50/1
Pat Perez 50/1
Brendan Steele 50/1
Tony Finau 50/1
Xander Schauffele 50/1
Adam Scott 60/1
Charl Schwartzel 60/1
Charles Howell III 60/1
Bill Haas WD
Rafael Cabrera Bello 60/1
Keegan Bradley 60/1
Beau Hossler 80/1
Cameron Smith 80/1
Franesco Molinari 80/1
Charley Hoffman 80/1
Kevin Na 80/1
J.B. Holmes 60/1
Haotong Li 80/1
Kevin Streelman 80/1
Jimmy Walker 80/1
Adam Hadwin 80/1
James Hahn 80/1
Jason Kokrak 60/1
Bryson DeChambeau 100/1
Austin Cook 100/1
Shane Lowry 100/1
Martin Kaymer 100/1
Sangmoon Bae 100/1
William McGirt 100/1
Kyle Stanley 100/1
Ryan Moore 100/1
Bud Cauley 100/1
Brandon Harkins 100/1
Aaron Wise 100/1
Jhonattan Vegas 100/1
Martin Laird 100/1
Peter Uihlein 100/1
Ted Potter, Jr. 125/1
Harris English 125/1
J.J. Spaun 125/1
Patrick Rodgers 100/1
Luke List 125/1
Si Woo Kim 125/1
Scott Stallings 125/1
Brian Gay 125/1
Jim Furyk 150/1
Billy Horschel 150/1
Lucas Glover 150/1
Wesley Bryan 150/1
Jamie Lovemark 150/1
Sam Saunders 150/1
C.T. Pan 150/1
Luke Donald 200/1
K.J. Choi 200/1
Graeme McDowell 200/1
Anirban Lahiri 200/1
David Lingmerth 200/1
Aaron Baddeley 200/1
Danny Lee 250/1
Retief Goosen 250/1
Padraig Harrington 250/1
Field (all others) 10/1

Mortal Locks:

Rory McIlroy — I’ve been accused of being a lot of things and a Rory McIlroy apologist it definitely one of them. I still think Rory is going to have a huge year and a hiccup at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am does not a mind change. I have Rory winning and winning big in 2018 and I’m stick to my guns. McIlroy bounces back in a big way at the Genesis Open and at 12/1, you’ll be glad when he does.

 Jordan Spieth — Like Phil Mickelson, when Jordan Spieth talks about his game, I listen. He said he’s getting his putting back on track after a couple lack-luster weeks on Tour and I believe him. He’s got a decent track record at Riviera (three top-25’s in five appearances, T-5 here last year) and comes in with the first burst of confidence he’s had all year. He’s not the favorite — which is nice for us degenerates who actually stand to make a couple shekels if he wins. At 12/1, the juice is worth the squeeze.

Bang for Your Buck: 

Paul Casey, Phil Mickelson — I don’t want to do it, but I’m going to. Like splitting aces except with one guaranteed loss, I’m putting money on both Mickelson and Paul Casey. Both players have spectacular track records at Riviera. Both players are overdue for a win. And both players are getting 25/1 money this week. It was a flip of the coin as to who ended up here and I just couldn’t omit one of them. Like I said, I want to be on the right side of the ledger even if it doesn’t make me rich. If you want one over the other, fine. I’m not going to argue with you either way.

Tony Finau — I know I’ve taken the action on Tony Finau a couple times this year with no success, he has played well. Close, but no cigar-type weeks that make gamblers like me jump off bridges then throw more money on them. I’ve taken a couple weeks off but I’m back on board this week. Why? I do genuinely believe in Tony Finau and incredible talent he possesses. He’s getting 50/1 money this week, which is a great return on investment for someone who could break out at any moment.

Fun Under $5:

Bryson DeChambeau — The only player who is more cloying than Phil Mickelson is Bryson DeChambeau. Sadly, he’s been showing some great form and, like all tinkerers who have sustained stretches of mediocre performances sprinkled with flashes of unimaginable brilliance, will eventually breakthrough. Despite the fact that he makes my skin crawl with his backwards autographs and single-length irons, he’s too talented and playing too well to ignore this week — especially when he’s getting 100/1 money.

There you have it, friends and degenerates. Now if you’ll excuse me, I’ve got some money on that stupid dog show thing. Until next time, go and choose wisely…


  1. Nate says:

    Thanks man, love the write up. I’m going with Noren big this week

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *