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(Photo by Robert Laberge/Getty Images)

Welcome to 2018, dear friends and degenerates! It’s time to, once again, apply my knowledge and sight for your own financial gain!

Just a couple days removed from New Years debauchery and resolutions we’ve probably already broken, the PGA Tour is ready to kick off the 2018 portion of the 2018 season. Sentences like that one are why the wrap around season is so stupid — but I digress.

As most of the country is covered in a blanket of ice and snow and misery, the winner’s of the PGA Tour are in Hawaii, a land untouched by the despicable clutches of winter where you can swim with dolphins, paddle board with sea turtles, play golf in January and breath without your lungs feeling like your swallowing pieces of a broken razor blade.

While most of us can’t escape the polar vortex sweeping down from Canada like the Tour’s best can, we can still be winners — you just have to be willing to take my advice. My New Years resolution is for you to listen to me more — so you may as well start now:

 

Sentry Tournament of Champions
The Plantation Course at Kapalua – Kapalua, Maui, Hawaii
January 4 – 7, 2018

ODDS to Win:
Jordan Spieth 11/2
Justin Thomas 13/2
Dustin Johnson 7/1
Rickie Fowler 7/1
Hideki Matsuyama 10/1
Brooks Koepka 12/1
Jon Rahm 12/1
Marc Leishman 20/1
Patrick Cantlay 20/1
Xander Schauffele 25/1
Kevin Kisner 25/1
Daniel Berger 30/1
Brian Harman 30/1
Pat Perez 30/1
Brendan Steele 40/1
Kevin Chappell 40/1
Russell Henley 40/1
Cameron Smith 30/1
Austin Cook 60/1
Patton Kizzire 60/1
Kyle Stanley 50/1
Jason Dufner 60/1
Bryson DeChambeau 60/1
Si Woo Kim 60/1
Adam Hadwin 100/1
Billy Horschel 100/1
Hudson Swafford 100/1
Grayson Murray 100/1
Jhonattan Vegas 100/1
Wesley Bryan 100/1
Jonas Blixt 150/1
Ryan Armour 150/1
Chris Stroud 200/1
D.A. Points 300/1

Mortal Locks:

Jordan Spieth —  Cliches and stereotypes are cliches and stereotypes for a reason — and despite the fact that you may get tired of hearing or are offended by them, they save time and help explain a lot. My favorite cliche? “Horses for courses,” of course! This week, the horse for the course is Jordan Spieth. Three career starts at Kapalua have yielded a win, a second and a third. He may be the favorite — rightfully so, obviously — but he’s certainly worth your money this week. No sense in getting caught up in trying to win big week no. 1 when being right is oh-so-much more important early in the year. Take Spieth at 11/2.

Justin Thomas — While you’re at it, if you’re going to bet on Jordan Spieth, you may as well take the action on his crony and the reigning PGA Tour Player of the Year, Justin Thomas. As it was in 2017, it will (likely) be in 2018 — where there’s Jordan, there’s Justin. Such is the case this week in Hawaii. Thomas won this event last year en route to a five-win season. There’s no reason to believe he can’t win this small field, winner’s only event again this year. At 13/2, you’d be remiss not to give Justin Thomas a look.

Bang for Your Buck:

Patrick Cantlay — Trying to figure out who this season’s Justin Thomas will be? Don’t. I already know. It’ll be Patrick Cantlay. This week at the Plantation Course, Cantlay is getting 20/1 money — a nice little line on a guy who has already won during the 2017-’18 campaign and is riding a swell of momentum that should surely keep him rolling into the new year. The former can’t-miss kid is my favorite for Tour Rookie of the Year in 2018 and should make a run a multiple titles. Don’t pass on him this week when he gets the ball rolling on his break out season.

Pat Perez — Speaking of players looking to continue their momentum, Pat Perez is a great bet this week in Kapalua. Continuing to improve as a golfer at the ripe old age of 41, Perez is in the midst of his best, most consistent stretch of golf of his career. This week, he tees it up in a small field on an island he loves with the opportunity to punch his return ticket for 2019. Bet on Perez for those reasons listed above — and the generous 30/1 money line which he’s been posted at.

Fun Under $5: 

Grayson Murray — With no real, current form to go on, I’m taking the action on Grayson Murray this week for one, simple reason — I want to see him win. And for some reason, my eyes keep finding his name on lists and orders and stories this week, so I kind of feel like the gambling gods are trying to steer me in his direction. I’m happy to listen — especially if it’s only going to cost me a few meaningless shekels. Don’t be the farm, but at 100/1, Murray is an option that could keep things interesting.

There you have it, friends and degenerates. Now if you’ll excuse me, I’ve got to fire up Zillow and Indeed, grab my leg warmer slippers and spend the night trying to convince myself to to give it all up and relocate to a land where snow and cold are only seen in movies and TV.

Until next time, go and choose wisely…

-Golfstradamus.

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