(Photo by Andrew Redington/Getty Images)

Hola, friends and degenerates! After yet another week of betting disappointment, it’s starting to get a little old. With the team of Jason Dufner and Pat Perez finishing runner-up, it gave ol’ No. 1 runner-up finish No. 4 on the season. Blugh.

The world’s best players head north from Cajun country to the urbanized south and Charlotte’s Quail Hollow Club for the Wells Fargo Championship. After a one year hiatus, the tournament returns to its home at Quail Hollow — which is a welcome move for many.

There are few golf courses on tour that lend themselves to similar looking score boards the wall Quail Hollow does. If you look back at the top-15 finishers here in the last 10 years or so, you see the same couple handfuls of names over and over again.

Which is a good thing for degenerates like you and I.

As long as Rory, Phil, Rickie and the like are teeing it up, there’s a pretty easy bet to be made. There’s also quite a few also-rans who look forward to this event because it’s a chance to breakthrough. Just ask Derek Ernst — arguably the worst PGA Tour winner in decades.

Here’s a look at my can’t-miss, no-doubt, sure-fire, mortal locks for the Wells Fargo Championship:

Wells Fargo Championship
Quail Hollow Club – Charlotte, North Carolina
May 3 – 6, 2018

ODDS to Win:
Rory McIlroy 7/1
Justin Thomas 10/1
Rickie Fowler 10/1
Jason Day 20/1
Patrick Reed 20/1
Hideki Matsuyama 20/1
Paul Casey 25/1
Tiger Woods 25/1
Phil Mickelson 25/1
Tommy Fleetwood 25/1
Louis Oosthuizen 30/1
Webb Simpson 30/1
Tony Finau 30/1
Alex Noren 40/1
Ryan Moore 40/1
Kevin Kisner 40/1
Bryson DeChambeau 40/1
Chesson Hadley 40/1
Brian Harman 50/1
Brooks Koepka 50/1
Adam Scott 60/1
Daniel Berger 60/1
Tyrrell Hatton 60/1
Emiliano Grillo 60/1
Luke List 60/1
Russell Henley 60/1
Francesco Molinari 60/1
Kevin Streelman 60/1
Byeong Hun An 60/1
Adam Hadwin 80/1
Xander Schauffele 80/1
Jason Dufner 80/1
Gary Woodland 80/1
Charles Howell III 80/1
Charl Schwartzel 80/1
Ollie Schniederjans 80/1
Kyle Stanley 80/1
Sean O’Hair 80/1
Beau Hossler 80/1
Bud Cauley 100/1
Dylan Frittelli 100/1
Bill Haas 100/1
Keegan Bradley 100/1
Sam Burns 100/1
Shane Lowry 100/1
Jamie Lovemark 100/1
Lucas Glover 100/1
J.B. Holmes 100/1
Grayson Murray 100/1
Andrew Landry 100/1
James Hahn 100/1
Trey Mullinax 80/1
Joaquin Niemann 125/1
Austin Cook 125/1
Patton Kizzire 125/1
Martin Kaymer 150/1
Graeme McDowell 150/1
Chris Paisley 150/1
Patrick Rodgers 150/1
Jason Kokrak 150/1
Ross Fisher 150/1
Rory Sabbatini 150/1
Nick Watney 150/1
Keith Mitchell 150/1
Brice Garnett 150/1
Aaron Wise 150/1
Danny Lee 200/1
Corey Conners 200/1
Peter Uihlein 200/1
Aaron Baddeley 200/1
Jhonattan Vegas 200/1
Kevin Tway 200/1
Brandon Harkins 200/1
Kelly Kraft 200/1
C.T. Pan 250/1
Anirban Lahiri 250/1
Ryan Ruffels 300/1
Vijay Singh 300/1
Ernie Els 300/1
Field (all others) 12/1

Mortal Locks: 

Rory McIlroy — If you’re not penciling Rory McIlroy into your fantasy roster this week, I pity you. You’d better have a great excuse. Same goes for those who aren’t betting on him at the Wells Fargo. Sure, he’s only getting 7/1 money, but that’s a gift in my opinion. When you look at the track record McIlroy has at Quail Hollow — and his stellar 2018 campaign to date — you’ve got to be blind if you don’t see why Rors is the odds-on favorite to win this week. I don’t care if I need to bet the boat — I’m taking McIlroy.

Phil Mickelson — The best player never to win at Quail Hollow is Phil Mickelson. He probably should’ve won the Wells Fargo in 2010, but lost out to the aforementioned Mcllroy who won by four strokes. The most impressive stat for Mickelson is that he’s 13-for-13 in this event over the course of his career with seven top-5 finishes sprinkled in. At 25/1, Lefty may be old — but he’s still got game and is teeing it up at a place where he’s very comfortable.

Fun Under $5: 

Tiger Woods — I’m no Tiger-apologist, but this week at Quail Hollow, Woods has them right where he wants ’em! Think about it — did you even KNOW Woods was teeing it up in Charlotte? I did — but kind of forgot. He’s getting 25/1 money which I still think is a little low considering what he’s actually done since returning to action. That said, he’s not the main story this week and that seems to me to be the perfect time to pounce.

Bud Cauley — I’m still high on Bud Cauley regardless of what most of y’all think. At 100/1, I’m not betting the farm or anything — but I’m not looking away, either. Cauley comes to Quail with a limited track record, which some would consider a disadvantage blah blah blah — I don’t need to explain myself. My eyes just keep going to that name, so I’m going to take a swing.

Bang for Your Buck:

Joaquinn Niemann — Since Bryson DeChambeau turned pro a few years back, the amateur everyone had their eyes on was Joaquinn Niemann. Now that he’s turned pro, someone else is that guy. For your sake, be glad Niemann turned pro. He’s got the good to be a Xander Schauffele-type heading into 2019 — but that doesn’t mean he’s valueless now. At 125/1, you could be a very happy camper come next Monday should you take the action.

There you have it, friends and degenerates. Now if you’ll excuse me, I’ve got to prep the yacht for this weekend’s Cinco de Mayo/Kentucky Derby party. If this is the first you’ve heard about it, that wasn’t a mistake.Until next time, go and choose wisely…

-Golfstradamus.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *