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Good day, friends and degenerate wagerers! Stroke-play is back on the PGA Tour after a one-week hiatus and so is my winning streak!

Last week, team golf tripped up the old crystal brain and I went 0-for — though, through Thursday, it was looking pretty good. That is, until Reed/Cantlay and Spieth/Palmer sputtered on the weekend.

No worries! I’m not in the business of dwelling on the past when each week is a great chance to get rich quick. If you’re interested, I suggest you take note.

This week, the PGA Tour heads to a familiar event on unfamiliar turf — the Wells Fargo Championship at Eagle Point Golf Club in Wilmington, North Carolina. With most of the field coming in green, it’s anyone’s tourney this week. With that in mind, you n00bs are going to need some guidance — so pay attention:

Wells Fargo Championship
Eagle Point Golf Club – Wilmington, North Carolina
May 4 – 7, 2017

ODDS to Win:
Dustin Johnson 5/1
Jon Rahm 10/1
Adam Scott 15/1
Paul Casey 20/1
Phil Mickelson 20/1
Kevin Kisner 20/1
Daniel Berger 30/1
Bill Haas 30/1
Louis Oosthuizen WD
Webb Simpson 30/1
Wesley Bryan 30/1
J.B. Holmes 40/1
Patrick Reed 30/1
Francesco Molinari 40/1
Cameron Smith WD
Bud Cauley WD
William McGirt 40/1
Byeong Hun An 60/1
Emiliano Grillo 60/1
Zach Johnson 60/1
Jim Furyk 60/1
Kevin Na 60/1
Pat Perez 60/1
Hudson Swafford 60/1
Lucas Glover 60/1
Alex Noren 60/1
Shane Lowry 60/1
Luke List 60/1
Martin Laird 60/1
Graeme McDowell 60/1
Rafael Cabrera Bello 80/1
Soren Kjeldsen 60/1
Nick Watney 80/1
Brian Harman 80/1
Jonas Blixt WD
Kevin Streelman 100/1
J.T. Poston 100/1
Harold Varner III 100/1
Harris English 100/1
Chris Kirk 100/1
Stewart Cink 100/1
Kevin Tway 80/1
Scott Brown 125/1
Bryson DeChambeau 125/1
James Hahn 150/1
Patrick Rodgers 125/1
Andrew Johnston 150/1
Curtis Luck 200/1
Ryo Ishikawa 250/1
Field (all others) 9/4

Mortal Locks — 

John Rahm (10/1) — John Rahm was one of the early season stories when he claimed his maiden Tour victory at the Farmers. Since then, you’d think he’d gone into a miserable slump — but that wouldn’t be true. Rahm has notched top-10’s in five of his last six starts, the Masters notwithstanding. He comes in as a favorite at 10/1, but that’s no reason to shy away. As a Tour rookie, just about every track he’s played has been his first time on property and that hasn’t slowed him down so far.

Kevin Kisner (20/1) — Last week’s runner-up looks to build on the momentum created at the Zurich Classic and improve his spot by one in North Carolina. I, for one, think he’s going to a force this week. Kisner has made every cut this season and has picked up two runner-up finishes. For a former Tour winner rounding into form headed into “Open” season and The PLAYERS next week, I’d say a win is next in line. At 20/1, there’s a lot to be excited about.

Wesley Bryan (30/1) — The flood gates are open! Following his win at the RBC Heritage, Wesley Bryan has the monkey off his back and can play the rest of his days as, “PGA Tour winner Wesley Bryan.” With that freedom, I believe, comes great play. I’m not necessarily sold on a win this week, but he’s going to be in the hunt. And if my visions are a touch milky and he does pull it off, I want to be celebrating, too. At 30/1, the juice is worth the squeeze.

Bang for Your Buck 

Webb Simpson (30/1) — Of all the guys in the field this week, none have the experience here that hometown boy Webb Simpson does. As Matt said yesterday in “Players/Posers,” Simpson is a “horses for courses” guy and that’s reason enough to take him. You remember what (almost) happened taking Luke Donald at Harbour Town, right? This is a very similar occasion. At 30/1, I’m betting the farm on Simpson.

Brian Harman (80/1) — The Lefty is trending upward in his last handful of starts and, as a former winner on Tour, knows how to get things done. Honestly, there aren’t a ton of great options this week in the 50/1- 100/1 area of things, so this is a bit of a crap shoot. If you were interested in Nick Watney or Graeme McDowell and Luke List at 60/1, I wouldn’t argue with you, either.

Carl Pettersson (??) — I love this pick this week but you might have to go elsewhere than your favorite site this week to find some action on him. Pettersson is so far removed from being relevant on Tour that he’s being lumped into “field” categories. This week, however, he deserves a look. Coming off a solid performance in his last start at the Valero and headed to a course where he holds the record is enough to drop a couple shekels on a guy who should be getting well over 100/1 money.

There you have it, friends and degenerates. Now if you’ll excuse me, I have some champagne and cigars to buy for Sunday night. If you’re smart enough to heed my advice, you should do so as well. And if not, well, you know the saying — “you can lead a horse to water but you can’t make it drink — and if it wants to drown itself, you can’t stop it.”

– Golfstradamus

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