(Courtesy: Golf Week)

Buenos Dias! The PGA Tour climbs Trump’s wall and heads South of the Boarder to the land of cheap cerveza and duffel bags full of heads! Not only does this week’s WGC-Mexico Championship mark the second time time the world’s best golfers tee it up in Mexico, it’s also the first World Golf Championship of the year.

Last year, Dustin Johnson cruised to victory in the inaugural installment of this event — which used to be the WGC-Cadillac Championship held a Doral. This year, DJ is the odds-on favorite — but not my favorite.

Now that the world’s best have a year of experience here, it’ll be interesting to see who took the best notes. Like any World Golf Championship event, the field is smaller and that means more talent per three-ball than in normal weeks.

That also means y’all are going to need some serious guidance if you want to make some cash this week. Lucky for you — I’ve got my crystal brain working overtime. Here’s a look at your can’t-miss, sure-fire, mortal locks for the WGC-Mexico Championship:

WGC – Mexico Championship
Club de Golf Chapultepec – Mexico City, Mexico
March 1 – 4, 2018

ODDS to Win:
Dustin Johnson 6/1
Justin Thomas 15/2
Jordan Spieth 12/1
Jon Rahm 12/1
Rickie Fowler 16/1
Tommy Fleetwood 16/1
Justin Rose 20/1
Phil Mickelson 20/1
Alex Noren 25/1
Sergio Garcia 25/1
Paul Casey 25/1
Patrick Cantlay 30/1
Tony Finau 30/1
Bubba Watson 30/1
Thomas Pieters 30/1
Tyrrell Hatton 40/1
Matt Kuchar 50/1
Marc Leishman 50/1
Gary Woodland 50/1
Daniel Berger 50/1
Webb Simpson 50/1
Kevin Chappell 50/1
Chez Reavie 50/1
Matthew Fitzpatrick 50/1
Xander Schauffele 50/1
Branden Grace 50/1
Ross Fisher 50/1
Rafael Cabrera Bello 60/1
Louis Oosthuizen 60/1
Patrick Reed 60/1
Jason Dufner 60/1
Kevin Kisner 60/1
Brian Harman 60/1
Dylan Frittelli 60/1
Pat Perez 60/1
Brendan Steele 60/1
Adam Hadwin 60/1
Francesco Molinari 80/1
Russell Henley 80/1
Joost Luiten 80/1
Charl Schwartzel 100/1
Charley Hoffman 100/1
Patton Kizzire 100/1
Haotong Li 100/1
Kiradech Aphibarnrat 125/1
Kyle Stanley 125/1
Bernd Wiesberger 150/1
Shubhankar Sharma 150/1
Peter Uihlein 150/1
Paul Dunne 150/1
Jhonattan Vegas 150/1
Chris Paisley 150/1
Satoshi Kodaira 200/1
Yusaku Miyazato 200/1
Jorge Campillo 200/1
Dean Burmester 250/1
David Lipsky 250/1
Gavin Kyle Green 300/1
Brett Rumford 300/1
Wade Ormsby 300/1
Yuta Ikeda 300/1
Brandon Stone 500/1
Abraham Ancer 500/1
Chan Kim 500/1
Adam Bland 1000/1

Mortal Locks: 

Justin Thomas — If there’s any player worth taking a look at the week following a win, it’s Justin Thomas. As streaky as he can be, he does seem to connect great finishes before fading and then fighting back. Thomas, who finished T-5 last year at Chapultepec, is seeking his 8th win in 32 starts this week at the WGC-Mexico Championship. At 15/2, he’s –surprisingly — not the favorite, but still worth a big bet.

Alex Noren — Already with a runner-up and a third place finish this season, Alex Noren is bound to win on tour at some point this year. Why couldn’t it come this week in a short field event with no cut? Noren, while not yet a household name stateside, has easily been on of the 10 best players in the world over the last 18 months and is off to a flying start during his first full season on the PGA Tour. At 25/1, the juice is worth the squeeze.

Bang for Your Buck: 

Dylan Frittelli — Last week, I incorrectly predicted victory for Dylan Frittelli in his U.S. PGA Tour debut — but I wasn’t too far off. In an event that seemed more like a war of attrition instead of a golf tournament, Firttelli finished under par for the week and scored a top-10 finish. This week, he could make that statement I thought he might seven days ago. At 60/1, give him a look. The young South African could very well be golf’s next big thing.

Patton Kizzire — It’s hard to believe that at 100/1, Patton Kizzire is a two-time winner at the PGA Tour this season — but those be the facts. Kizzire is still playing some really solid golf and, despite not having scored a top 25 since winning the Sony Open in January and missing the cut last week at the Honda. I believe those are more of the outliers than the wins. He’s already tasted victory once this year south of the boarder — I think he’s got a shot at doing it again this week.

Fun Under $5: 

Paul Dunne — Perhaps most famous for holding the 54-hole lead at the 2014 Open Championship, Paul Dunne has turned into quite the pro. He’s already got a win on the European Tour — the 2017 British Masters, by 3 strokes over Rory McIlroy — and certainly has the ability to win this week in Mexico. At 150/1, you’ll be happy you took the action.

Peter Uihlein — Also at 150/1, Peter Uihlein is making his first career start in the WGC-Mexico Championship. While he hasn’t exactly been setting the world on fire, he’s got as good a chance as anyone in a small field event with no cut.

There you have it, friends and degenerates. Now if you’ll excuse me, I’m going go grab some nachos, a couple Dos Equis Amber’s and some cheap fireworks and party like it’s Cinco de Mayo. Until next time, go and choose wisely


Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *